An Empirical Study on the Coordinated Development of Cross-Border E-commerce and Cross-Border Logistics in Guangdong Province
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61360/BoniGHSS252019290708Keywords:
cross-border e-commerce (CBEC), cross border logistics, VAR model, coordinated developmentAbstract
Driven by the robust growth of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC), cross-border logistics in Guangdong Province has witnessed a surge in demand. As an increasing number of CBEC enterprises select Guangdong as their core hub for import and export operations, the need for logistics services has grown exponentially. Using annual data from Guangdong Province from 2014 to 2023, this paper explores the relationship between CBEC and cross-border logistics in Guangdong province, verifies the interplay between the two sectors, and identifies pathways to foster their sound and coordinated development. via cointegration tests and a constructed Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. The research results reveal that, in the long term, the CBEC and the cross-border logistics industries in Guangdong province are interdependent and maintain a stable equilibrium. In the short term, the development of CBEC is more influenced by the internal factors, whereas the cross-border logistics is greatly influenced by the variations of CBEC. Based on these findings, some suggestions are given to promote their coordinated development.
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Copyright (c) 2025 Jie Tang, Zewei Wu

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